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 Premium Ticket Speculation Thread

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zoebeagle
Android Mechanic [Rare]


Join date : 2012-08-14
Posts : 374

PostSubject: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 11:48 am

So, I've got a bunch of tickets and figured it might be good to get a sample going as to what might be the percentages to pull each type. So, I'll be breaking down what I get by individual card here and then determining percentages later.

★★ Adelaide
★★ Alicia x3
★★ Anna
★★ Claudio x2
★★ Damien
★★ Dominique
★★ Elmer x2
★★ Enrique x2
★★ Iwan x2
★★ Jane
★★ Kira x2
★★ Kirill
★★ Mummy
★★ Orlando x2
★★ Orthros
★★ Pernilla
★★ Ravenous Bear x2
★★ Solveig x2
★★ Veronika x4
★★ Willy x2
★★ Yakov x2
★★★ Auguste
★★★ Catoblepas x2
★★★ Elvira x2
★★★ Fernando x2
★★★ Geronimo
★★★ Johann
★★★ Julian x5
★★★ Katharine x2
★★★ Kinderik x2
★★★ Leevi x2
★★★ Maksim x3
★★★ Marlow x2
★★★ Matvei
★★★ Neil x3
★★★ Perceval
★★★ Treant
★★★★ Alfonso
★★★★ Chris
★★★★ Gunnel
★★★★ Miriam
★★★★ Scarlet
★★★★ Sergei

[My Pull Stats]
★★ 48.65%
★★★ 40.54%
★★★★ 8.11%
★★★★★ 0.00%
★★★★★★ 0.00%
74 Total Pulls


Last edited by zoebeagle on Fri Sep 21, 2012 7:47 pm; edited 2 times in total
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Dannupa



Join date : 2012-09-18
Posts : 60

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 1:14 pm

Great idea, I love quantifying how unlucky I am. Here's data for my last 11 tickets (I should have started keep track longer ago).

★★ Willy
★★ Adelaide
★★★ Maksim
★★ Solveig
★★ Enrique
★★ Alicia
★★★ Gustav
★★★ Troll
★★ Bjorn
★★★ Gustav
★★ Imp

I wish I had done this for longer so I could show the time I got ★★ Anna for 3/4 draws.


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n00face



Join date : 2012-09-04
Posts : 20

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 1:55 pm

I'll add more when I 'feel lucky'

1st Draw
★★★ Harvine
★★ Willy
★★★ Auguste
★★★ Matvei
★★★ Elvira
★★ Poisonous Flower
★★★ Gustav
★★ Kirill
★★★★ Anton
★★★ Geronimo
★★ Solveig
★★ Iwan

2nd Draw
★★ Veronika
★★ Anna
★★ Ghost
★★★ Elvira
★★★ Lycanthrope
★★★ Gustav
★★★ Julian
★★★ Julian
★★ Iwan

That's all
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struesdell
Baron Von Vermin [LEGENDARY]


Join date : 2012-09-08
Posts : 128

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 8:31 pm

zoebeagle wrote:
So, I've got a bunch of tickets and figured it might be good to get a sample going as to what might be the percentages to pull each type. So, I'll be breaking down what I get by individual card here and then determining percentages later.

[sic]

[My Pull Stats]
★★ 48.65%
★★★ 40.54%
★★★★ 8.11%
★★★★★ 0.00%
★★★★★★ 0.00%
74 Total Pulls

Thanks for doing this! I'm interested because this clearly disproves a hypothesis I had that suggested the premium ticket was just the premium normal draw shifted-down by one rarity. So that you'd get 4*s as often as you get 5*s in the normal pack, etc. This makes it look like it's on its own draw table entirely, which is exciting.

I really need someone to corroborate the appearance of a 5* card in a TICKET draw.
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pnoytroi
Gingerbreadian [SPECIAL]


Join date : 2012-09-13
Posts : 946

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 8:34 pm

Oooh. Very tempting to do, but I think I'll wait until they have "raised chances" for drawing rare cards :-)
Clock - If you happen to see this thread, shush. LOL. It's not luck or superstition haha. Just a waste of money haha.

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Before you get started, please read the Forum Policies & Information | 6* List: Fenrir. 5* For Sale: None ATM

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zoebeagle
Android Mechanic [Rare]


Join date : 2012-08-14
Posts : 374

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 8:46 pm

I was thinking about combining everyone's pulls, but I have a feeling that we might end up with some bad numbers. There is really no way to know for sure what someone pulled, so I'm just going to go with my numbers for now. Although video evidence is pretty convincing.

Yes, I have video evidence of my pulls, and no you can't see them haha. Suspect Razz
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dastand
Gingerbreadian [SPECIAL]


Join date : 2012-09-15
Posts : 201

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 8:50 pm

zoebeagle wrote:
I was thinking about combining everyone's pulls, but I have a feeling that we might end up with some bad numbers. There is really no way to know for sure what someone pulled, so I'm just going to go with my numbers for now. Although video evidence is pretty convincing.

Yes, I have video evidence of my pulls, and no you can't see them haha. Suspect Razz

Why can't we see the videos? xD
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zoebeagle
Android Mechanic [Rare]


Join date : 2012-08-14
Posts : 374

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 8:51 pm

dastand wrote:
Why can't we see the videos? xD

'Cuz I said so! Razz Don't have them uploaded anywhere to share anywho.
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dastand
Gingerbreadian [SPECIAL]


Join date : 2012-09-15
Posts : 201

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 8:58 pm

zoebeagle wrote:
dastand wrote:
Why can't we see the videos? xD

'Cuz I said so! Razz Don't have them uploaded anywhere to share anywho.

Hello YouTube! XD
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clocksprocket
Commando Chicklet [EPIC]


Join date : 2012-08-17
Posts : 1395

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 10:12 pm

Clocks.

Anyway, I have 49 premium tickets I'll be using later tonight and I'll also write down everything I pull. You can choose not to trust my numbers/pulls but I really have no reason to lie. Laughing
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Curasa
☆☆


Join date : 2012-09-15
Posts : 209

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Fri Sep 21, 2012 10:14 pm

Men should never be trusted with their pulls.
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tzerherman
Gingerbreadian [SPECIAL]


Join date : 2012-09-11
Posts : 277

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Sat Sep 22, 2012 12:18 am

Didnt dastand pull a thrain from premium? And an ally of mine oulled a manticore today.
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clocksprocket
Commando Chicklet [EPIC]


Join date : 2012-08-17
Posts : 1395

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Sat Sep 22, 2012 1:01 am

49 premium tickets used:

★★ Adelaide x2
★★ Alicia
★★ Anna
★★ Bjorn x2
★★ Damien
★★ Dominique
★★ Elmer
★★ Ghost x2
★★ Igor
★★ Iwan x2
★★ Kira x3
★★ Mummy
★★ Orc
★★ Orthros
★★ Pernilla
★★ Toad
★★ Yakov x2
★★★ Albert x3
★★★ Auguste
★★★ Evert
★★★ Fernando
★★★ Geronimo
★★★ Harpy
★★★ Harvine
★★★ Kinderik
★★★ Leevi
★★★ Lycanthrope x2
★★★ Matvei x4
★★★ Minotaur
★★★ Perceval
★★★ Simon
★★★ Treant
★★★★ Estlin
★★★★ Mylene
★★★★ Robert
★★★★ The Kraken

Will do percentages in the morning (or someone else can do it if they can't wait Laughing)


Last edited by clocksprocket on Sat Sep 22, 2012 11:58 am; edited 1 time in total
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Avaloch



Join date : 2012-09-08
Posts : 11

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Sat Sep 22, 2012 8:52 am

I'm not sure if anyone felt the same way as me, but I felt that the premium tickets when used during the Venus Coliseum event seemed to yield poorer cards (1* and 2* mostly) compared to after the event.
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clocksprocket
Commando Chicklet [EPIC]


Join date : 2012-08-17
Posts : 1395

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Sat Sep 22, 2012 11:15 am

Premium tickets don't even give out 1*s, so I'm not sure how that would happen? Laughing
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Avaloch



Join date : 2012-09-08
Posts : 11

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Sun Sep 23, 2012 9:56 am

clocksprocket wrote:
Premium tickets don't even give out 1*s, so I'm not sure how that would happen? Laughing
@_@ I meant to say 2* and 3*!

I should really review my posts before I submit them Sad
Sorry for the typo~
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cuddytime



Join date : 2012-08-14
Posts : 135

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Sun Sep 23, 2012 6:41 pm

i used all my prem tickets from VC today... best card was seriously pernilla lol...

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KuroStar
☆☆☆☆☆☆


Join date : 2012-09-24
Posts : 2816

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Mon Sep 24, 2012 4:27 am

Oh my... * I'm new in the game btw.
I got my Premium Ticket at the 5th day when I login. Then I'm told by my sister that I can get a 4*and 5* card when I use the Premium Ticket.
Then I got a 2* card. At first, I thought I was unlucky but now seeing this thread. I even wonder if I should use my Premium Tickets because i think everything i draw is gonna be 3* and 2*.
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NapkinPower
☆☆


Join date : 2012-09-13
Posts : 214

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Mon Sep 24, 2012 8:09 am

Hang in there and you'll pull some 4*'s on tickets eventually. I had to buy my first few, now I have a backlog of cards I want to start levelling (after I max out a few more "main" units). Ninja Monkey pulled Thrain on a ticket draw last night, which inspired me to blow my VC reward tickets and I ended up with a whole bunch of 2*/3*...hoorah! I did end up with a few 4* pulling during the event, though, so Avaloch I had a different experience with it. Most likely just offsetting your luck on either side. ;-)

Anyway, the way I'm looking at the premium ticket is this: I've pulled a crap-ton of brave packs in the almost 3 weeks I've been playing and only drawn, I think, one 3* card from it (2 max). I figure it's the same odds of drawing >4* on a premium ticket...which means lots and lots of pulls on average.
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Goblinsmack



Join date : 2012-09-24
Posts : 2

PostSubject: re   Mon Sep 24, 2012 8:28 pm

used over 80 tickets from last event received one 5* Ignat.
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brokenchicken
☆☆


Join date : 2012-09-04
Posts : 176

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Mon Sep 24, 2012 8:58 pm

Know what would be nice? If they'd take Anastasia off the graphic for plain Premium Tickets if there's no chance in hell of getting her or other 6*s.

(Also take Gunnel off the plain Card Pack, same rationale.)
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tzerherman
Gingerbreadian [SPECIAL]


Join date : 2012-09-11
Posts : 277

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Tue Sep 25, 2012 3:13 am

Burned 30 today... 1 4*, 3 3* and the rest 2*... talk about horrible luck haha
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tzerherman
Gingerbreadian [SPECIAL]


Join date : 2012-09-11
Posts : 277

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Tue Sep 25, 2012 3:14 am

brokenchicken wrote:
Know what would be nice? If they'd take Anastasia off the graphic for plain Premium Tickets if there's no chance in hell of getting her or other 6*s.

(Also take Gunnel off the plain Card Pack, same rationale.)
Also someone pulled monica from premium ticket today... so yeah..
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ilykeetinpp



Join date : 2012-09-20
Posts : 20

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Tue Sep 25, 2012 11:11 am

got my first 4* draw Yuria from about 12 tickets i got in the last event. I swear it has to do with time or something, i always draw a couple of reg card packs and if i draw any 2* i'll use my tickets, today i got 2 3* in a row from the reg card pack which ive never gotten 3* from that thing before
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Stoire
Android Savior [LEGENDARY]


Join date : 2012-09-19
Posts : 290

PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Tue Sep 25, 2012 10:28 pm

I got a 5* Camille from my second premium ticket C:. Drawn at 8:17pst if that helps?
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PostSubject: Re: Premium Ticket Speculation Thread   Today at 4:48 am

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